Reentry Prediction
Predicted Reentry Window 08 Jul 2022 21:45 UTC ± 1 hour
Epoch of most Recent Orbit Data
Prediction Ground Track
DRAGON RESILIENCE DEB (ID 48342) Reentry Prediction Image

Yellow Icon – location of object at midpoint of reentry window
Orange Line – area of visibility at the predicted reentry time for a ground observer  -- area of potential visibility if the reentry occurred at the middle of the window
Blue Line – ground track uncertainty prior to middle of the reentry window (ticks at 5-minute intervals)
Yellow Line – ground track uncertainty after middle of the reentry window (ticks at 5-minute intervals)
White Line – day/night divider at middle of the reentry window (Sun location shown by White Icon; lighting shown at the center of the window)
Pink Icon – vicinity of eyewitness sighting

Note: Possible reentry locations lie anywhere along the blue and yellow ground track.  Areas not under the line are not exposed to the debris 

Debris from this Reentry may have been found in Numba Vale, New South Wales, Australia.  Related Reports:


DRAGON RESILIENCE DEB (ID 48342) Debris Location Image


The image above shows the center of Aerospace's reentry prediction window at 21:45 UTC alongside the location of debris found in NSW, Australia.  Using the tick marks spaced at 5-minute intervals, Aerospace's prediction of the object at 21:05 UTC can be seen as well.  This time is also similar to the approximate time of the sound heard by residents of the area at 21:05 UTC on 7/8, according to the article above.  Below is the same image zoomed in for clarity.

DRAGON RESILIENCE DEB (ID 48342) Debris Location Image (Zoomed)
Object Description
Reentry Type
Int'l Designation 2020-084B
NORAD Number
Launched 16 November 2020 @ 00:27 UTC
Mission CREW-1

NOTICE: The materials about Upcoming Reentries are for informational purposes only and should not be used as a substitute for specific technical advice or opinions related to your particular facts and circumstances.