Reentry Predictions

DRAGON RESILIENCE DEB (ID 48342) Reentered

Reentry Prediction
Predicted Reentry Time	08 Jul 2022 21:45 UTC ± 1 hour Timezone
Orbit Epoch	08 Jul 2022 20:28:36.671 UTC
Prediction Ground Track Yellow Icon – location of object at predicted reentry time Orange Line – area of visibility at the predicted reentry time for a ground observer Blue Line – ground track uncertainty prior to predicted reentry time (ticks at 5-minute intervals) Yellow Line – ground track uncertainty after predicted reentry time (ticks at 5-minute intervals) White Line – day/night divider at predicted reentry time (Sun location shown by White Icon) Pink Icon – vicinity of eyewitness sighting Note: Possible reentry locations lie anywhere along the blue and yellow ground track.

Debris from this Reentry may have been found in Numba Vale, New South Wales, Australia. Related Reports:

News article describing location and debris: https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-07-29/space-junk-found-in-nsw-snowy-mountains-paddocks-/101277542
Description of sound heard around 7/8 21:05 UTC: https://www.space.com/spacex-debris-fall-australia-crew-1-dragon-capsule

DRAGON RESILIENCE DEB (ID 48342) Debris Location Image

The image above shows the center of Aerospace's reentry prediction window at 21:45 UTC alongside the location of debris found in NSW, Australia. Using the tick marks spaced at 5-minute intervals, Aerospace's prediction of the object at 21:05 UTC can be seen as well. This time is also similar to the approximate time of the sound heard by residents of the area at 21:05 UTC on 7/8, according to the article above. Below is the same image zoomed in for clarity.

DRAGON RESILIENCE DEB (ID 48342) Debris Location Image (Zoomed)

Object Description
Reentry Type	Debris
Int'l Designation	2020-084B
NORAD Number	48342
Launched	16 November 2020 @ 00:27 UTC
Mission	CREW-1

NOTICE: The materials about Upcoming Reentries are for informational purposes only and should not be used as a substitute for specific technical advice or opinions related to your particular facts and circumstances.